Sunday 7 April 2013

The Perniciousness of the Obfuscatory 'We'



            
           One of the biggest obstacles to clear thinking in the social sciences is the failure to adhere to methodological individualism. Rather than taking individuals as the basic unit of analysis, many fuzzy thinkers arbitrarily assign people to collectives and assume that the collective has separate interests and characteristics, different from the individuals that make it up. Such thinkers will often use the term ‘we’ to denote the most common collective: the territorial political unit to which the reader and the thinker belong.
            
           This kind of thinking, and its perniciousness, is illustrated by the saying that: “government debt doesn’t matter, because we owe it to ourselves”. To the methodological individualist, several questions immediately pop up. Who are the individuals that are the creditors in this arrangement and who are the individuals that are the debtors? Pursuit of this line of thinking will lead to the conclusion that the creditors are the holders of government bonds, while the debtors are the future taxpayers. For the government does not create resources, it takes and redistributes resources. And the people it is taking from must necessarily be future taxpayers or inflation victims, if the government is not to renege on its debt. The absurdity of the quoted statement can easily by shown because it implies that defaulting on the government debt would be equally as irrelevant as piling it on! If ‘we’ owe it to ‘ourselves’, then if ‘we’ stop owing it to ‘ourselves’, then there has been no change. But this is absurd: everyone who held government bonds would be significantly affected if they were totally repudiated. That this might actually be the most tolerable and ethical solution to the public debt problem is not the issue at the moment, the point is that the paying of government debt is a redistribution from future taxpayers to government bondholders.

(Note: This example and discussion was inspired by the following Murray Rothbard article: http://mises.org/daily/1423)
            
          Another common use of the obfuscatory ‘we’: “we (Canada) won three gold medals at the Olympics”. This might seem like a relatively benign use of the term, after all, everyone residing in the territorial borders of the political unit called Canada can properly be called Canadian. But, the methodological individualist would inquire, did ‘we’ really win any gold medals? Athletes, who were on team Canada, through their excellence in a particular sporting event, won some gold medals. What did the random Canadian insurance broker do to contribute to this success? One could argue that he paid taxes that went towards covering part of the expenses of the athlete, but this just means that the government of Canada forcibly took some of the insurance broker’s resources and gave it over to this particular athlete. But this operation is not enough to fuse the athlete and the insurance broker into a ‘we’ that is winning anything! What if the athlete doesn’t want ‘us’ to win the medal, he/she wants himself/herself to win the medal alone? What if someone in the ‘we’ does not want to be part of the Canadian ‘we’? Is there a way to get out of the Canadian ‘we’, or are you in the Canadian ‘we’ forever, like it or not, no matter what this ‘we’ is said to have done? What if, instead of something benign like showing excellence in athletics, the ‘we’ in question is off killing foreign civilians in the Middle East, or wantonly robbing and imprisoning its own people? Is there still no way out of this all-encompassing ‘we’?
            
           The examples abound, sometimes even including all of humanity: ‘we’ are destroying the planet, ‘we’ are going to blow ourselves up with nuclear weapons, ‘we’ need to help the poor, or the Africans, or cure cancer. But all this means nothing. The methodological individualist will ask: ‘who’ is destroying the planet? ‘Who’ is going to blow people up with nuclear weapons? ‘Who’ would be materially responsible for doing these charitable things mentioned? Only once we know specifically ‘who’ is doing something negative can be explain why they are or why they are being allowed to, and hopefully think of a solution. Only once we know specifically ‘who’ will be responsible for providing the resources for some project or another can we decide whether funding the project in this way will be effective and moral, and what its effects on the incentive structure of society will be.

Using ‘we’ is a way for sloppy thinkers to advocate programs without presenting the full analysis of their effects by obfuscating all the important social aspects through excessive aggregation. For instance, Keynesian and Monetarist economists always go on about a ‘price level’ that goes up or down depending on what ‘monetary policy’ (ie. speed of governmental money printing) is adopted. It is implied that when money is injected into the ‘economy’ (another obfuscatory collective), all the prices in the economy will move up or down at the same time, and it just falls to the monetary planner to make this level correspond to the point of ‘full employment’. But, the pesky methodological individualist will object, how would all the prices in the economy move up or down at the same time when they are set by millions of individual market interactions? In fact, the newly injected money must start in the possession of one individual, and only through the purchasing of this individual, and the purchasing of those businesses that the individual patronizes, and so on, will the money flow through the economy, eventually raising all prices in an uneven and choppy fashion. Obviously, the earlier receivers of the new money will benefit because their money income is higher due to the injection before all the prices in the market society have adjusted to the new amount of money in circulation. The same applies in reverse to the later receivers of the new money, who will lose.

Thus, we see that when we drop the obfuscatory collectives and mechanistic analogies and look at real life individuals, we see that government money printing is a redistribution of resources. The biggest beneficiary is the money creator, ie. the government (officially the central bank, but they remit their profits to the government and buy government bonds with the new money), and then those bankers connected to the central bank, then their favoured clients, etc… Moreover, this uneven effect disrupts the economy in other ways besides this redistribution, as it temporarily, artificially lowers the interest rate and misleads entrepreneurs into investing in riskier and longer-term projects, when the requisite savings to make this profitable have not in fact been accumulated. This error will be revealed in a painful bust when the money printing slows (which it must eventually, unless it ends with a catastrophic hyperinflation).
            
           These are some notable examples of obfuscatory collective terms being used in the service of sloppy social science analysis. To keep your thinking on this subject sharp, rigorous and accurate, be sure to always adhere to methodological individualism, and be wary of ‘we’.     

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